Showing posts with label delegate count. Show all posts
Showing posts with label delegate count. Show all posts

Monday, May 2, 2016

Game Of Delegates: Ted Cruz Edition

Last night, we witnessed the resurrection of Jon Snow in Episode 2 of the Game of Thrones’ sixth season. 

Davos asked Melisandre to appeal to the Lord of the Light to bring him back to life.  She performed an incantation in Valyrian pleading, “Bring him back from death and darkness.  His flame has been extinguished.  Restore it.”  Someone who knows the Valyrian language can fact-check this for us.

And speaking of resurrection, Ted Cruz needs new life breathed into his quest for the nomination in the final stretch and he’s pinning his hopes on the Hoosier State.  Melisandre, please call your office.

Brendan Bordelon posits this at National Review, “Down in the polls and with zero margin for error heading into Tuesday’s crucial Indiana primary, Ted Cruz could be forgiven for seeing a silver lining in his apparent strength with unbound Republican delegates…But friendly delegates are as subject to shifts in the race’s momentum as anyone else, and Cruz’s strength with some of these crucial first-ballot convention voters may be overstated—particularly in North Dakota, where his campaign declared victory after filling 18 of 25 unbound delegate slots with its chosen candidates at the April 3 convention…as they’ve watched Cruz struggle to tread water in a primary increasingly dominated by Trump, many of them, wary of a bitter convention battle that could rend the party at its seams, are rethinking their commitment to the Texas senator.”

Saturday, April 30, 2016

Curmudgeonly Cartoons: Evangelical Endorses Lucifer?

According to Christian Broadcast News, Mike Pence’s endorsement of Ted Cruz on Friday “makes perfect sense.”
First of all, Pence and Cruz are both solid constitutional conservatives. Do they have a few differences? Sure, but those are on the margins. Pence’s views line up nicely with how Cruz sees the world. As two born-again evangelicals, they see the world through a biblical prism. Their worldviews are identical in nature. 
Secondly, if Pence is looking at a future presidential run, he can’t afford to tick off the conservative grassroots of the Republican Party. A Trump endorsement would taint him in the future and potentially kill any chance of a future presidential run.
I can’t remember a more tepid, watered-down endorsement.  Perhaps that’s because, according to Eliana Johnson of National Review, he’s in a tough reelection battle against former Indiana house speaker John Gregg, the same man he defeated by just 2.9 points when he was elected to the governorship four years ago. Since then, circumstances have changed. Once a widely popular governor whom conservatives twice encouraged to run for president, first in 2012 and then in 2016, Pence has seen his approval ratings fall sharply—by about 15 percentage points—since he signed the Religious Freedom Restoration Act a year ago; fumbled his way through public appearances defending that decision; and tightened restrictions on abortion in the state. He has taken a hit with women and business interests.

Poor Governor Pence.  You can’t blame him for being queasy.  He came under intense pressure from conservative donors, politicians, and media figures—many of them close personal friends—to back Cruz.  Had he sat on the fence, the growing chorus of allegations that he was putting his own career ahead of what many see as the fight for the survival of the Republican Party would endanger his reelection bid.

In an election year unlike any I can remember, endorsements just haven’t meant much and the question remains—will his make enough of a difference to stop Trump's march to the 1237 delegates needed for nomination or will it be the shot in the arm Cruz needs to survive?  In a few days we’ll have the answer.

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Winning A Convention Instead Of An Election?

Trump likes to compare himself to Ronald Reagan, but Cruz is taking his cues from Reagan’s playbook.
Everybody’s flapping their gums about the first contested  brokered  open Republican convention since 1976 that may very well result in a messy floor fight if no one reaches the required 1237 delegates needed for the party’s nomination on the first ballot.

Donald Trump is acting like a yuuuuuge baby since the Colorado GOP convention selected delegates through the caucus process which allowed Ted Cruz to capture all 34 delegates. Colorado GOP leaders canceled the party’s presidential straw poll back in August of 2015 to avoid binding its delegates to a candidate it believed might not survive until the RNC convention in Cleveland this July.  That maneuver placed the election of national delegates squarely in the hands of party insiders and activists and left roughly 90 percent of the more than one million Republican voters on the sidelines.

A thoroughly vexed Trump lashed out saying, "The system is rigged, it's crooked."  "There was no voting. I didn't go out there to make a speech or anything, there's no voting," Trump said. "The people out there are going crazy, in the Denver area and Colorado itself, and they're going absolutely crazy because they weren't given a vote. This was given by politicians - it's a crooked deal."

The front-runner accused Cruz of trying to steal delegates in South Carolina. Trump won the state primary in February, but Cruz supporters got four of the first six delegate slots filled at congressional district meetings on Saturday, according to local media.

Cruz also succeeded at getting more of his supporters chosen as delegates in Iowa, where he won the caucuses in January, and at last week's state convention in North Dakota.

"Now they're trying to pick off those delegates one by one," The Donald said. "That's not the way democracy is supposed to work. They offer them trips, they offer them all sorts of things and you're allowed to do that. You can buy all these votes."

Instead of bitching and moaning, the vulgarian with tiny hands should concentrate on securing as many bound delegates as he can through the voting process.  In addition, he should compete in the delegate process, something he has failed to do thusfar and actually organize an effort to win over the supporters of other campaigns on a second ballot.

Trump hasn’t done any of that.  He’s been out-maneuvered by Cruz at every turn.

Back in February, after losing Iowa to Cruz, Trump admitted he “never realized” the importance of building a field organization. But instead of going out and building that field organization, he has done the opposite. Politico reports that “Since March, [Trump] has been laying off field staff en masse around the country.” Trump brags about how rich he is, but he has run his campaign on the cheap, relying on provocative tweets and his massive advantage in free media to win primaries. He’s now learning that Twitter and free media can’t win delegates.

Trump likes to compare himself to Ronald Reagan. Well, if he doesn’t stop complaining and start campaigning, he may end up as Reagan did in ’76 — the runner-up.

Rebecca Berg notes at Real Clear Politics, “The Republican National Committee now finds itself scrambling to introduce the most arcane details of the primary process to wary and confused voters. Rarely in modern presidential primaries has the delegate selection process in all 50 states been a topic of much interest, nor have Republican voters needed to concern themselves with the party’s rules for the convention.”

Trump has not shown signs of letting up stirring fears among some Republicans that he could galvanize his supporters to revolt if he loses the nomination at an open convention. He has already begun to move toward directly implicating the party and its leaders.

“It's a disgrace for the party. And Reince Priebus should be ashamed of himself.  He should be ashamed of himself because he knows what's going on,” said Trump.

“If the primary system is essentially a complicated 50-state board game, what we’re seeing now makes it clear that Donald Trump never bothered to read the instructions,” said strategist Doug Heye, a former RNC official who now counts himself among the “Never Trump” Republicans.

Indeed, Trump tweeted in January 2014 a quote attributed to Albert Einstein: "You have to learn the rules of the game. And then you have to play better than anyone else."  
Allahpundit astutely notes, “Trump and his allies will spend the next three months reduced to increasingly desperate gimmicks designed to either delegitimize the delegate selection process or to work around it somehow, a la Roger Stone insisting that delegates sign a pledge that they’ll vote for Trump on all ballots if they’re bound to him on the first.  It’s the political equivalent of the old lawyer’s maxim that you pound the facts if the facts are on your side, pound the law if the law’s on your side, and pound the table if neither is. They’re probably not going to get to 1,237 delegates via the remaining primaries; they’re almost certainly not going to get there either by out-organizing Cruz in state delegate elections. So it’s time to pound the table. If Reince thinks he’s tired of whining now, just wait until the day after California votes."

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

This Will Not End Well

Last night CNN hosted a Republican Presidential Town Hall in which we saw all three GOP contenders go back on their pledge to support the eventual nominee of the party. 

John Kasich said of the pledge, “All of us shouldn’t have answered that question.”

Ted Cruz told host Anderson Cooper, “I’m not in the habit of supporting someone who attacks my wife and my family.  I think nominating Donald Trump would be an absolute train wreck.  I think it would hand the general election to Hillary Clinton.”

Cooper posed the pledge question to Trump who said, “No, I don’t anymore.  I’ve been treated very unfairly” by the Republican National Committee and party establishment figures.  He added, Cruz “doesn’t need to support me.  I have tremendous support right now from the people.  I don’t really want him to do something he’s not comfortable with.”
I worry the festering animus by the candidates on “our” side of the aisle is contaminating the discourse among ordinarily sensible people.  The fans, speaking metaphorically, are beginning to fight each other in the stands.  If you’re a Trump supporter Cruz people call you stupid.  And vice versa if you’re a Cruz supporter.  This is a frightening scenario that will not end well.

I’ve have heard some say they will vote for Hillary if Trump is the nominee.  Don’t mistake what I am saying.  Please.

I have said all along that I believe voters must have their say at the ballot box.  Whoever emerges the winner in each state’s primary should receive the delegates that well-established rules dictate they should be awarded. 

The convention in Cleveland should not devolve into a melee in which everyone has their long knives out.  We’ve come too far to surrender to the Marxists and socialists and poodle press who coronated their “messiah” and lied to the American people about Benghazi and the countless classified emails that placed our national security in grave peril and sought to fundamentally transform America. 

Are we willing to surrender without a fight to a fossil socialist or a corrupt and bloodless woman who lied to the four families who lost loved ones in a far-off hell hole in Libya who could be destined for a stretch in a federal penitentiary?

If we can’t get our shit together, the transformation we most fear will be complete in November.  I don’t want that.  Do you?

Sunday, March 27, 2016

Bernie Stole Hillary’s Only Means Of Transportation And Used It To Sweep Her In “Western Caucuses”

Bernie Sanders, the witless oaf peddling socialism, was victorious in Washington state's caucuses 72.7 percent to Clinton's 27.1 percent and won Alaska's caucuses by a landslide, defeating Clinton 81.6 percent to 18.4 percent. At 4 a.m. Sunday, with 87.8 percent of precincts reporting, Sanders was declared the winner in Hawaii, leading Clinton 70.6 percent to 29.2 percent.  That followed his runaway wins in Idaho and Utah.

The delegate math still favors The Ice Cube In Heels.  Clinton has amassed 1712 delegates to Sanders’ 1004.  The nomination will belong to the candidate who garners 2383 before the Democrat convention.  There are 2049 delegates still up for grabs.

And if you needed further evidence that Democrats are divorced from reality, savor this nugget from Bill Scher of Politico as he opines about the Lizard People’s idol:
This is not a joke. Senator Al Franken should be the Democratic Party’s choice for Vice-President. “If I had said that 10 years ago, or even six months ago, the notion would have been preposterous:  a former Saturday Night Live writer, perhaps best known as the mock self help guru Stuart Smalley, Franken became synonymous with left-wing bombast thanks to his best-selling book “Rush Limbaugh is a Big Fat Idiot.” He took the presidency itself as a joke, writing a satirical campaign memoir, “Why Not Me,” in which Franken wins the White House on a platform of eliminating ATM fees, only to be quickly chased out by the “Joint Congressional Committee on the President's Mood Swings.”
With Hillary Clinton’s grip on the Democratic nomination firm, and Donald Trump on track to insult his way to the Republican nomination, Democrats will want their vice-presidential choice to accomplish the following:
   1.   Prevent Bernie Sanders’ energized left-wing youth from snubbing Clinton and flocking to the Green Party, 
     2.     Protect the Rust Belt from Donald Trump’s blustery charms; and 
   3.   Navigate an unprecedented media circus dominated by Trump’s barrage of taunts

Scher prattles endlessly on about the virtues of this idiot and then concludes with this gem, “The reason for Clinton to pick Franken is this:  it would make the entire fall campaign bearable to watch.”