The Democrats’
obsession with defeating Donald Trump and voters’ sense of personal connection
to Uncle Joe was supposed to be enough to propel him to the nomination at their
July convention in Milwaukee.
Leaked poll numbers
from what
would have been the
final Des Moines Register Iowa Poll showed Biden in fourth place with 13
percent.
“None of us thought we
were at 13 percent,” an unnamed source said. “We can’t be in fourth place. That
just cannot be right.”
But it was right. And
it confirmed what rival campaigns had whispered for months—Biden wasn’t
inspiring Iowa voters and his support was barely an inch deep.
Someone, I can’t
remember who, quipped on Twitter that Joe’s Iowa results were his best performance
after three tries; he dropped out in 1988 and he came in fifth in 2008. At this
rate, he might even be a winner in Iowa around the year 2056 when he’s 113
years old or 114 by the time the votes are finally
counted.
Biden doesn’t have a
message for New Hampshire voters. “If he doesn’t do well in New Hampshire, the
media will think that’s the end, because it’s always been the end,” said
Ed Rendell, the former Pennsylvania governor.
Biden’s
last chance, in my opinion, comes tonight during the Democratic Presidential
Debate at Saint Anselm College in Manchester, NH.
He
disappeared from the campaign trail Thursday high-tailing it back to his home
in Delaware to prep for the debate.
A
Sanders campaign adviser noted,
“…if he’s [Biden] third or fourth in Iowa and third or fourth in
New Hampshire, no one has ever, ever won the nomination coming out that weak in
both those states. And then we go into Nevada and win the first three early
states. Then what’s his argument? Sure, he’ll win South Carolina. But it’s the
Saturday before Super Tuesday so it doesn’t impact things as much. Then you’ll
see how weak he is. And he has no money.”
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